A Market of Two Stories: What the Calabasas Numbers Really Mean

Monthly Market Update

Real Estate Insight

Stephen White

A Message From Stephen

The Southern California luxury market continues to move with purpose. Demand remains strong in key neighborhoods, and now is an exceptional time for both buyers and sellers.

Market Spotlight

A Market of Two Stories

The headlines say Calabasas is “down 2.9 percent.” The MLS tells a more interesting story. Here is what the data actually shows, and what it means for the homes selling right now.

If you have been reading national real estate coverage and wondering what is happening in your own neighborhood, you are not alone. The numbers feel contradictory. Zillow shows a soft year. Redfin shows the median sale price up sharply. Inventory is rising. Days on market are climbing. And yet the luxury tier just keeps moving.

Both stories are true. They are measuring different parts of the same market. Once you separate them, the picture becomes very clear, and very actionable.

Calabasas By The Numbers

Avg. Home Value

$1.64M

▼ 2.9% YoY

Median Sale Price

$1.40M

▲ 25.8% YoY

Days On Market

71

▲ from 46 days

Luxury DOM ($2M+)

28

Among shortest in region

Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Redfin Calabasas Market Data, CoreLogic / Institute for Luxury Home Marketing.

The Two Calabasas Markets

Days on Market · Standard vs. Luxury Tier

General Market 2024
46 days
General Market 2025-26
71 days
Luxury Tier ($2M+) 2025-26
28 days

Source: Redfin (general market), CoreLogic / Institute for Luxury Home Marketing (luxury tier).

What These Numbers Actually Mean

The standard market has slowed. Homes that took 46 days to sell last year are now taking 71. That is a 54 percent increase in marketing time. Inventory has loosened. Buyers are taking longer to decide. Price reductions are more common than they have been in years.

The luxury tier did the opposite. Active listings priced above $2 million are down 15 percent year over year, and the homes that come to market at the right price are selling in roughly 28 days. The buyers at the top of the market are still here, still moving, and still paying. They are just being more selective.

This is not a contradiction. It is a separation. The market did not crash. It got disciplined. The homes that still move quickly have one thing in common, and it is not luck. They were priced for where the market is, not where the seller wished it was.

“The market did not crash. It got disciplined.”

Stephen White, Luxury Estate Director

Median Sale Price · Calabasas

Year Over Year Movement

November 2024
$1.11M
November 2025
$1.40M

Source: Redfin Calabasas Market Data, Nov 2024 vs. Nov 2025.

Luxury Tier Inventory Tightening

Active Listings Above $2M (Indexed, Q3 2024 = 100)

Q3 2024
100
Q4 2024
96
Q1 2025
92
Q2 2025
88
Q3 2025
85

Source: CoreLogic U.S. Home Price Insights, Q3 2025 vs. Q3 2024.

For Sellers

Three Things To Know This Month

I.

Pricing Is The Whole Game Now

In a 71-day market, the first two weeks are still the most important. Homes priced correctly out of the gate are still attracting serious buyers in the first ten days. Homes priced ten percent over market are sitting, getting stale, and chasing the price down. The penalty for guessing has gotten more expensive.

II.

The Luxury Buyer Is Different

The buyers above $2 million in Calabasas right now are largely cash or strongly financed. They are not waiting for rates to drop. They are waiting for the right property. Presentation, positioning, and a clean marketing roll-out matter more in this segment than they have in five years.

III.

Comps Older Than 90 Days Tell The Wrong Story

The market shifted faster than most pricing tools can track. A home that closed at $1.65M in February is not a 2026 comp anymore. The pricing conversation today has to start with what is in escrow, not what closed last quarter. This is where most overpriced listings begin.

Ready to Make Your Move?

Whether buying, selling, or investing – I am here to guide you.

SCHEDULE A CONSULTATION

Stephen White

Luxury Estate Director

310.701.9747  |  [email protected]  |  stephenwhitehomes.com

Christie’s International Real Estate  |  Southern California

Categories: Buyers, Real Estate News, and sellers.